Wealth in China: Sizing the Market Opportunity; Sizing the wealth market in China and its growth potential.
SKU ID :GD-10156523 | Published Date: 31-Mar-2016 | No. of pages: 39Description
TOC
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Wealth growth is slowing but will still outstrip the West
Key findings
Critical success factors
SIZING AND FORECASTING THE CHINESE WEALTH MARKET
2.8% of China's affluent individuals can be considered HNW
Affluent individuals in China account for 3.5% of the total adult population
Affluent individuals account for 3.5% of the population but hold 84.1% of liquid assets in China
Chinese HNW individuals held $3,565bn in liquid assets in 2015
DRIVERS OF GROWTH IN THE CHINESE WEALTH MARKET
China's retail savings and investments have impressed with remarkable growth in recent years
China's retail investment market is forecast to perform strongly despite weaker economic conditions
As can be expected in emerging markets, deposits dominate China's retail investment market
Deposits continue to dominate China's retail investment market, but mutual fund holdings are forecast to grow fastest
Retail deposit growth is set to pick up again in 2016, but will be less pronounced than in the past
However, deposit rates remain low and face stiff competition from money market funds
Despite strong growth rates, China's retail bond market will remain insignificant
The subdued performance of the Shanghai Composite Index will limit growth of direct equities
Money market funds are growing in popularity, shielding funds from the vagaries of the stock market
HNW INVESTMENT PREFERENCES
Chinese HNW individuals allocate 35% of their portfolios outside traditional liquid assets
Chinese HNW investors allocate an above-average proportion of their wealth into property, but this is about to change
Alternatives and commodities have become an integral part of the typical HNW portfolio in China
A significant proportion of HNW wealth is invested offshore
Despite maintaining a closed capital account, a significant amount is leaving the country every year
Better returns overseas and local economic instability prompt Chinese individuals to invest offshore
Tax is a comparatively limited driver for offshore investments
The US is the single most important booking center for Chinese HNW wealth
APPENDIX
Abbreviations and acronyms
Supplementary data
Definitions
Affluent
Common Reporting Standard (CRS)
Domicile
Double taxation agreement (DTA)
Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA)
HNW
Liquid assets
Mass affluent
Onshore
Residency
Tax information exchange agreement (TIEA)
Methodology
Global Wealth Model methodology
Global Retail Investments Analytics methodology
Verdict Financial's 2015 Global Wealth Managers Survey
Bibliography
Further reading
About Verdict Financial
Disclaimer
Tables & Figures
Table 1: Progressive tax rates levied in China, 2015
Table 2: China: adult population segmented by affluent category and asset band (000s), 2010?14
Table 3: China: adult population segmented by affluent category and asset band (000s), 2015e?19f
Table 4: China: total liquid wealth segmented by affluent category and asset band ($bn), 2010-14
Table 5: China: total liquid wealth segmented by affluent category and asset band ($bn), 2015e-19f
Table 6: Chinese yuan-US dollar exchange rate, December 31, 2014 and December 31, 2015
Figure 1: Affluent individuals represented 3.52% of the population in 2015
Figure 2: The affluent population holds 84.1% of retail liquid assets in China
Figure 3: While lower than in the past, retail savings and investment growth is forecast to remain strong
Figure 4: Deposits account for 81.1% of the Chinese retail and investment market
Figure 5: Mutual funds and bonds are forecast to grow at impressive rates
Figure 6: Deposit growth is inextricably linked to real GDP growth, but importantly always outperforms it
Figure 7: Retail bond holdings are negatively correlated to the Shanghai Composite Index
Figure 8: Stock market performance has been weak over the past year
Figure 9: There is a strong correlation between stock market performance and equity funds, and to a lesser extent mutual fund holdings
Figure 10: China's total fund industry is dominated by money market funds
Figure 11: A significant proportion of HNW wealth is allocated to non-traditional investments
Figure 12: Chinese HNW individuals hold 27% of their assets offshore
Figure 13: Asset diversification and investment options remain the biggest motivations for offshore investment
Figure 14: The largest proportion of Chinese HNW offshore wealth is booked in the US
Figure 15: The Chinese government has signed several TIEAs over the past few years
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